Ross County 1-1 Celtic: Drab match lit up by Vigurs equaliser

Celtic’s rotated XI could only draw 1-1 with Ross County, struggling as much with their own inadequacies as the home side’s stubborn and settled gameplan.

That both goals came from set-pieces highlights the sparsity in good chances, though in fairness Tony Watt had a second incorrectly chalked off.

Lineups

Ross County 4-1-4-1 vs Celtic 4-3-3

Ross County 4-1-4-1 vs Celtic 4-3-3

With just Emilio Izaguirre, Mikael Lustig and Tony Watt surviving Lennon’s rotation, fringe players like Rami Gherson, Lukasz Zaluska, Dylan McGeough and Anthony Stokes joined up with regulars like Kris Commons, Efe Ambrose and Kelvin Wilson.

Lennon stuck with the much maligned 4-3-3 that’s yielded mixed results of late, with particular attention on the unconventional midfield including Ambrose sitting and McGeouch right of centre.

Derek Adams, desperate for 3 points that’d keep his side in the chase for Europe, continued with 4-1-4-1, though this was a more ambitious version than normal. Martin Scott pushed on almost as a second striker, keeping Lustig at bay, with Iain Viggurs surprisingly handed a central berth.

Ikonomou space & 4-3-3 problems

Celtic had the ball in the net after only 4 minutes, but their first-half was defined by the unorthodox formation and the space allowed for County’s left-back. It resembled at times, a 4-4-2 diamond with Commons tucked in behind the two strikers. Yet Watt was sticking out left, and Commons irregularly tracking back on the right.

This left Evangelos Ikonomou in swathes of room, able to push beyond the nominal left-winger Scott, who in turn could support the lone striker. It was in this zone that County won the free-kick that eventually resulted in the equaliser.

Problems continue with this 4-3-3, aside from the vulnerability on the flanks, the forwards are often too isolated which only encourages long-balls. Stokes is decent in the air but not exactly a target to aim for, while Watt was kept quiet aerially by the 6’4″ Mihael Kovačević.

Using 3 out and out forwards puts a numerical strain on the other 7 outfield players – demonstrated in an inability to keep the ball down (though the sandpit pitch didn’t help). Celtic only took 44% of possession as a result.

Even worse second half

Like against Motherwell, Celtic only worsened after half-time. Paul Lawson, Vigurs and Richard Brittain were simply winning the midfield battle (again related to numbers). With Commons now picking up Ikonomou, his effectiveness in attack was neutered as a result, hence the reason Lennon likes him central in the first place.

Elsewhere there were niggles. McGeouch looked like an attacking player (ideally on wing) asked to play a more defensive role, later swapping out wide. Izaguirre’s bursts down the left didn’t sit well with Watt operating high on the left and no targets to aim for. Ambrose had a stinker, unsuccessfully trying to act the playmaker, or, when sticking to the midfield ‘battle’ coming off second best.

In all, the disjointed 4-3-3 inevitably called for a shift to something else. Tom Rogic came on for the now defunct Commons, pushing Ledley wide left and McGeouch right-wing. But whatever ambition to win the match already seemed gone.

County meanwhile were well-drilled and eager. For example, from deep set-pieces the widemen pushed alongside Wohlfarth, making for a front 3 in that phase of play. Any knock-downs were aimed towards two quick and tricky players.

Lennon drew ire from the support for his use of substitutions: McCourt came on with 7 minutes to go and Kayal with just 1 – begging the question, why now? These were the right subs to make (as opposed to putting the pressure of chasing the match on untested youngsters) just at the wrong time. In the context of effecting a poor formation from the beginning, this wasn’t a good day for the manager.

Watt’s disallowed goal aside, this finely poised match was edged by County who enjoyed more possession and arguably more chances. It shows what a difference consistency can make to a side, along with the motivation of having something to play for.

 

 

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Celtic 3-0 Hibernian: Old comforts for comfortable win

Celtic’s title celebrations have to wait another fortnight after a comfortable late season win over Hibernian. It had been a rocky end to the campaign, having won just 2 of the previous 6 SPL matches, but Neil Lennon’s side never looked like struggling here.

Celtic 4-4-2 versus Hibs 4-1-4-1

Celtic 4-4-2 versus Hibs 4-1-4-1

Lennon returns to old comforts

Lennon has broadly stuck to variations of a front 3 since before Christmas, which at times has contributed to the dithering results. It is fitting to look back at the reason Lennon discarded a fairly popular and consistent 4-4-2, because it was so instrumental in the win here.

In short, the reason is Kris Commons. A 4-3-3 or 3-4-3 has allowed Lennon to play Commons centrally, and indeed against tougher teams has used Commons central in a 4-4-2. It places him closer to goal for a start, and there doesn’t seem to be anyone in the squad with as much creativity and guile at the moment (going back to the age old blog favourite – the search for a number 10).

But against Hibs, it was back to basics in many ways. A return to this season’s most successful central defence partnership in Kelvin Wilson and Efe Ambrose, a return to previous season’s favourite up top, the “Strooper” pairing, and finally a return to something like a lop-sided 4-4-2, a “peak” formation during the previous two campaigns.

To a lesser, similar extent we could see Izaguirre back to his swashbuckling best, and a more tucked in midfield on the opposite side of Commons.

Granted, defensively this was a more typical flat 4-4-2 than previous incarnations, yet Celtic’s best early chances, and eventually killer two goals, came via Commons cutting in centrally. For both, he received the ball almost precisely in the centre of the pitch, which obviously is not normal for your average right-midfielder.

Hibernian

Hibs’ hopes were pinned on the one and the one in a 4-1-4-1 – Jorge Claros, a technically gifted deep-lying midfielder, and Leigh Griffiths who probably needs no introduction. The rest of the midfield were there primarily to break up Celtic’s play, especially with the one man advantage, but also to break in numbers to support the diminutive lone striker.

Of course the other standard worry facing a counter-attacking team was set-pieces, with Griffiths left-foot a particular worry. An early chance swung past the far post, but the required fortune wasn’t with Hibs in this regard.

But with Hibs back 10 relatively compact, Griffiths cut a lonesome figure. This also served to make life difficult for Claros, starved of space and long options.

Experimental changes with scoreline comfortable

Mikael Lustig, singled out by Lennon as one of the players of the season, added the third, admittedly using his hand, but given Hibs’ looked dead and buried at 2-0, it didn’t really matter. Unsurprisingly, Commons had a part to play, drawing two defenders inside and opening space for Joe Ledley to supply the cross.

The 3 goal cushion allowed Lennon to make his first change, with Georgios Samaras replacing Lustig. Ambrose went to right-back with Charlie Mulgrew – who had a good game  in midfield – dropping back. But more surprisingly, there were cameo appearances for Tom Rogic and Paddy McCourt on either flank.

Rogic was the most significant bearing in mind who he replaced – Commons at right-midfield. It recalls of course the number 10 question, and perhaps demonstrates that Lennon has designs on Rogic being Commons’ main challenger.

We know that Rogic is an attack-minded midfielder, capable of playing all across the breadth of the park. He is also creative, able to beat a man, and mainly left-footed. The 12 minutes given weren’t enough to make a mark, especially with the match winding down, but it was certainly the most interesting change.

Celtic are now only playing for the Scottish Cup, and so this return to 4-4-2 is a timely “keep them guessing” technique in lieu of Dundee Utd next weekend. Jackie McNamara though, will be wary of his last encounter with Celtic and especially wary of Lennon’s main man. Commons played centrally in a 4-3-3, scoring a brace and providing an assist in a 6-2 thrashing. Expect a similar approach on Sunday.

 

 

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St Johnstone 2 – 1 Celtic: Saints’ hard-work is wake-up call for lazy Celtic

While Benfica had a weekend off to prepare for Wednesday’s crunch Champions League group opener, Celtic fell to a 2-1 defeat at the hands of St Johnstone in Perth. Kris Commons’ early opener appeared to set Celtic on their way, but instead the reaction was complacency with Gregory Tade and then Rowan Vine earning St Johnstone the deserved 3 points.

Celtic lineup

Celtic 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2

Neil Lennon faced a swathe of selection problems. Efe Ambrose hadn’t returned from international duty, Thomas Rogne was benched after speaking to the media while away with Norway and the injury list piled high: Adam Matthews, Beram Kayal, Joe Ledley, Georgios Samaras, Dylan McGeouch, Paddy McCourt and Anthony Stokes were all unavailable. The one positive though, was the return of Scott Brown having missed out on international duty through his ongoing hip problem.

St Johnstone lineup

Initial conservative 4-5-1

The big news at Mcdiarmid Park was of the flu virus that had decimated training earlier in the week. 7 players had suffered, though by kick-off a full-strength side was assembled – at least on paper.

Callum Davidson missed out through a knock, and Murray Davidson was substituted after only 21 minutes having failed to shake off that illness.

Opening

Opening the scoring after only three minutes, Celtic’s early eminance was down to playing confident deck football, making use of Commons and Hooper. It’s this sharp and smart passing that has long-term enabled Celtic to take advantage of a four man midfield. The strikers can make penetrating runs against a defence unsettled in open play, and the midfield can spray passes across the width of the pitch.

But the positivity was short-lived, very quickly descending into a sluggish complacency. The Saints by contrast had four main areas of success:

  • Taking advantage of exposed full-backs (James Forrest and Kris Commons guilty of not tracking back)
  • Tough ‘borderline’ tackling and sensible professional fouls
  • Inability to deal with Tade (not directly linked to goal)
  • Vine’s really clever movement between right-back and right centre-back

Aside from Celtic’s careless attitude, the first point is probably the most preventable. The other three were more down to St Johnstone’s own accomplishment.

Tade and Vine

This second formation from around the 30 minute mark until half-time was the Saints at their most positive and very difficult to contain.

Vine’s gravitation from left-wing to second striker, prompted by Steve Lomas, defined the Saints formation.

His job was to unsettle Mikael Lustig (often overloaded with the help of Tade, Liam Craig or Dave Mackay) drifting towards Kelvin Wilson to make two up front, and then dropping into any gaps left by Lustig.

This movement was best demonstrated in the equaliser. Forrest lost the ball weakly on the half-way, with Lustig out of position. Vine drifted into the space vacated by Lustig dragging Wilson out wide.

Tade was left one-on-one with Mulgrew, with essentially the width of the 18-yard box to play with – Izaguirre inexplicably not in a position to drop in and team-up with Mulgrew to make 2 vs 1.

This man-for-man approach when clearly prevailing in every personal battle, coupled with lazy tracking back meant St Johnstone could attack with ease.

Tade’s contribution apart from the goal was to give the Celtic centre-backs a horrible time. A ball of restlessness, scrapping for every long-ball put his way, and when the ball is put over the top or in behind, the tenacity to not allow Celtic’s centre-backs to calmly resume possession and build an attack.

Second half struggles

At 1-1 and in the ascendency, St Johnstone actually came out after half-time in a traditional defensive 4-1-4-1 formation. In part perhaps, to weather a Celtic storm that never arrived, in part due to the threat of the virus restricting energy levels, but also because they were so comfortable. There wasn’t a need to press high and risk opening gaps when the chances were already coming easily.

Celtic’s frustration only increased, with Wanyama and Commons guilty of petulance. At stages late one, Wanyama was consumed by red-mist, dishing out vigilante justice against Craig, and Commons tried to let fly with a 45-yard set-piece with the entire team out of position. To add insult, in trying to stop the counter-attack he fouled again, earning a poor yellow.

Vine’s hugely deserved winner was a sublime curled finish, but again poorly defended. Mulgrew’s challenge was soft, and with (substitute) Thomas Rogne and Wilson again chasing shadows, Vine was left one-on-one with Lustig in a seriously dangerous area. Frazer Forster’s very bad positioning, tight in at the near-post opened space and encouraged the wicked finish.

Last 10 minutes – 4-4-2 diamond

It’s fitting that it has taken this long to mention Nicolas Fedor’s debut, because he had almost zero impact on the match. Tony Watt’s late cameo added a bit of mischief, with Celtic in the end shaping up in a kind of 4-1-3-2.

For all the technique and trickery within that final side, Celtic hardly looked like breaking even – all composure had completely vanished.

Commons might point to a missed penalty opportunity with Steven Anderson pushing him over in the box, but St Johnstone were the better side all over the pitch and merited the win.

Lennon thought it may be a case of one eye on Europe, yet with the injury situation most of the starting XI will still expect to play.

“They will be all right for Wednesday and up for it but that’s the wrong attitude to take, they should be up for these matches as well.

“Today’s performance was needless and I am very disappointed for the first time in a long time with them.”

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Scotland 1 – 1 Macedonia: Scotland given a lesson in transition

Scotland’s 4-1-4-1 against Macedonia’s 4-2-3-1 counter-attacking system

Scotland’s World Cup qualifying campaign lies in tatters and Craig Levein teeters on the brink after a drab 1-1 draw with Macedonia. Nikolce Noveski struck an early lead for the visitors before Kenny Miller tapped in a barely deserved equaliser just before half-time. Levein gradually added more attacking impetus as the match wore on, but the winner couldn’t be found and in fact Macedonia had the better chances on the counter.

Pre-match, with the lineup named the anticipation was of an attack-minded 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1, with Kenny Miller perhaps given close support from one of Jamie Mackie, James Forrest or Shaun Maloney. Instead, it was a revert to Levein-type, opting for the default cautious 4-1-4-1, with Mackie on the left-wing and Maloney unfamiliar in the centre of midfield. At least individually, there were more attacking natured players on the park in comparison to Saturday’s draw with Serbia, but this was the same “begin not to lose” 4-1-4-1.

Mackie and Forrest’s inclusion on each flank aimed to stretch Macedonia’s expected deeply entrenched back-line, but in practice Scotland weren’t able to make use of this width, playing too impulsively, trying to force the ball towards Miller rather than eke out space via thought-out midfield passing.

Scotland’s best chance came through the more composed approach, with Miller in a brief flash of best form absorbed enough defenders to lay-off Gary Caldwell, though his left-footed drive from twenty yards went well wide. It’s at moments like these – when pressing for goals – that Caldwell’s ‘spoiler’ role, as suited as he is, becomes counter-productive and Adam’s seat on the bench becomes more conspicuous.

With the tartan army already rankled Noveski’s opener caused outrage. Taking notes from Serbia’s ease in finding 2 vs 1 at corners, Ivan Trichkovski one-two’d a path away from Forrest and whipped in the assist. Noveski may have been half-a-yard ahead of the last defender but he appeared level with the ball.

Levein mentioned post-match that Scotland “had to win the match, hence number of attacking players”, so clearly the idea was for individuals to dictate the attacking balance of the match, rather than the formation.

Regardless, the front 3 couldn’t get on the ball in good areas. Forrest had nowhere to go, Mackie seemed unfamiliar and out of place on the left, and Miller continued his poor form, or more accurately inability to win or hold on to the ball.

The goal aside, Scotland were struggling to deal with two monstrous problems: Goran Pandev’s roaming with impunity and his side’s speed and urgency transitioning between defence and attack and vice versa. While Pandev was exempt from real defensive positional duties, he was the link, the physical hub that others scurried back and forth around.

In attack, he took forward with a magnificent sense of timing and awareness of his team’s counter-attacking movement, and in defence sauntered into areas that kept Scotland’s midfield on it’s toes. Capping a majestic performance he was incessant in attempting clever and ambitious slide-rule passes, with his front three continually trying to break the offside trap.

While Macedonia’s attacking players were energetic going forward, transitioning back into defensive positions they were even more energetic, making Scotland’s countering look slow and stodgy in comparison. This put a dent in Levein’s goal-scoring ambition, with the opposition quicker getting back than Scotland could move the ball forward.

The equaliser came through a rare moment of positional indiscipline from Macedonia, with James Morrison able to thread through to Mackie, beating the offside-trap, who supplied Miller with the easiest of tap-ins.

The gravity of the situation slowly dawned on Scotland, and while Forrest’s on-the-ball influence increased (linking up well with Alan Hutton on the right) too often it was only Miller in the box – who isn’t really one to get on the end of crosses.

Levein slowly ramped up the attacking flavour of the side, introducing Adam for Miller (with Mackie going up top, Maloney left) and then Rhodes for Morrison on 65 minutes (making for a 4-4-2). One criticism seemingly taken on board post-Serbia is that the gradual attacking increase (or in short: introduction of Rhodes) came far too late – here he was given 25 minutes to make the difference, and quickly after had 2  diving headers put narrowly wide.

Scotland bossed possession seemingly more intent on creating, but Macedonia landed with the bigger chances on the counter. Allan Mcgregor is responsible for keeping the score level, providing two brilliant saves one-on-one.

Levein’s failing here was being too exact in his planning. He wanted to start both games with a tight, defensive 4-1-4-1 and grow into the match, gradually adding firepower as appropriate. But both plans went badly wrong.

Against Serbia it made sense because they are a strong side, and he couldn’t really account for dreadful individual contributions – albeit could’ve been more proactive looking for the winner. Macedonia however were a different proposition, out “small-siding” us with superb, well-drilled counter-attacking and dogged defending.

In this respect Levein’s transition into a more attacking system came too late, but there were just as many damning selection errors. Maloney and Caldwell are both unsuited in midfield against such a dynamic side, Mackie generally plays on the right for his club, and Miller’s international career looked finished on Saturday, despite the goal. Adam – once so central to Levein’s masterplan, was discarded.

Forrest’s pace and Rhodes’ sharp movement in the box provided glimmers of hope and these youngsters hold a lot of promise for Scotland’s future. A future now surely without Levein and without the stodgy pessimistic football that’s unacceptably yielded two home draws against beatable sides.

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HJK 0 – 2 Celtic: Patience rewarded with big away win

Celtic are through to the Champions League play-off round after a dogged victory over HJK in Finland. Neil Lennon’s side set out to calmly control possession, and save for a few shaky moments in the second half with the score level, progression was never really in doubt.

Celtic 4-1-4-1

Lennon named an extraordinarily pliable starting lineup, with the possibility of a 4-4-2 diamond, 3-5-2, or a form of 4-5-1. As widely predicted the Gary Hooper / Anthony Stokes partnership was broken up, leaving Hooper up front on his own. This left a classic, sensible, ‘European away’ 4-1-4-1 formation with Georgios Samaras on the left, and Kris Commons in quite a deep position on the right.

What remained was perhaps the first choice goalkeeper and back four, along with a sturdy central midfield three to battle HJK’s expected 4-4-1-1.

As an aside, James Forrest was just fit enough to make the bench, with Beram Kayal dropping out of the starting XI to make room for the Captain Scott Brown.

Comfortable start

A couple of factors made for a more than comfortable start for Celtic. The conservative formation provided a safe and stifling base to keep HJK in check, and the Finns seemed to be struggling with the pressure of having the responsibility to attack. With no easy openings and losing possession easily, Celtic were able to apply pressure through deep runs into space from midfield. First Brown pushed on unimpeded to squander a one-on-one opportunity to score, and soon after Samaras missed a slightly more difficult chance after running into space on the left. The misses were concerning, but not catastrophically so given the tepid pace of the match. Interesting to note, however that in Brown’s case the pin-point pass was delivered long from Mulgrew, who was working out time and space on the ball against the opposition lone striker.

Another concern was Hooper’s toiling as a lone striker. As much as losing the holding up battle with the centre-backs, he was losing the battle with the referee who constantly adjudged the striker to be backing in or clinging on. Regretfully, keeping the ref onside (whether you’re fouling or not) is part and parcel of being a decent targetman.

HJK 4-2-3-1 / 4-4-1-1

Speaking of which, HJK suffered an injury blow with Juho Mäkelä being replaced by Joel Pohjanpalo. And the former Hearts man’s experience was lacking – as exciting a prodigy Pohjanpalo may be, the role at this level requires utter selflessness, along with shrewdness and intelligence to get anything out of “the graveyard shift”.

HJK’s choking inability to keep the ball was the polar opposite of last week’s composed display, and it looked like a matter of time before Celtic grabbed the killer away goal. But as half-time loomed, the breakthrough couldn’t be found.

HJK’s big push

Celtic probably felt aggrieved that their mature and patient approach hadn’t yeilded a goal, and the frustration was manifesting in too many scattered long passes and frittering away possession resulting in HJK’s best spell just after the interval.

With too many edgy turnovers, space was opening for HJK to make use of – particularly Rasmus Schüller and Demba Savage although the final ball was frequently lacking. The right-back Sebastian Sorsa was responsible for two of his side’s biggest chances pushing forward from the back (with Samaras guilty of lazy tracking) first in setting up Savage for a decent opportunity, and then squandering the best chance of all – failing to find the net from a free and unmarked position inside the box.

Now HJK have the space to take advantage of, with Svage particular keen to, and Commons/Samaras not tracking back effectively. Sebastian Sorsa a great example, darting into the box untracked to get on the end of Savages cross to miss a glaring oportunity.

Having survived, and realising the error of their impatient ways, Celtic settled down to regroup and take the lead, finishing the tie as a contest. As one of Celtic’s two freeest men on the park (the two centre-backs, marked in effect by 1 player), Mulgrew bounded forward with HJK unable to ascertain whose responsibility he was. After a quick one-two, he made it all the way to the right-wing position, confounding two men with a quick shimmy onto his left, and delivering sweetly to Joe Ledley at the back post.

Aside from the earlier deep ‘creative’ duties, this high-lighted the surprise effect that buccaneering centre-backs can have on switched off defences. Reminiscent of what Madjid Bougherra once did in Europe for the now extinct Rangers.

Another notable and impressive feature, was Samaras’ continued use of the early left-footed cross. Rather than allowing the defence time to get into position, the quick-ball curled into the dangerous area between goalkeeper and defence is Hooper’s preferred method of delivery (as per the goal in the first leg), and it’s effectiveness was demonstrated twice, albeit without a goal.

Conclusion

The tictactic pseudo-preview underlined the exaggerated importance of Commons in Lennon’s thinking, but the match selection here confronted this idea. For once it was a triumph of the overall shape and organisation over pandering to the individual. Here, Commons was given a “graveyard shift” of his own – rather than enjoying a free role, or a striker-ish role, was forced to keep shape on the right, and keep the opposition full-back in check.

Elsewhere, the deep 4-1-4-1 was meticulously maintained, with the excellent Ledley (2nd half) and Brown (1st half) pushing forward at only the most suitable moment. Brown, especially earlier on was harking back to his Hibernian days – pushing into an attacking midfield position that appears so alien now for the established ball-winner. Ledley has a justifiable claim for MOTM, having scored the first, setup the second, and generally putting in an obligatory work-horse performance.

While Victor Wanyama put in another physically controlling display, he was punished rather harshly by the referee in being guilty of 2 fouls and being booked in both instances without hesitation. In isolation, it is true that the bookings were fair (the first a scissor slide tackle – a textbook yellow particularly in Europe, and the second a rash swipe)

Still, leniency is usually expected – especially on the 2nd of just 2 fouls, but what aggrieved Celtic more was the questionable decisions given against Hooper in his targetman tussles, where as HJK mostly (and probably correctly) got away unpunished. There simply weren’t enough yellow card offences on show from the hosts.

Negatives aside, what cannot be mistaken is the focused and patient nature of this away European performance against a good side. The back 6 were accustomed with each other, the system was given priority over attacking speculation, and for once there was no mid-match unnecessary tinkering. Instead the team were left to force the issue themselves – and they delivered.

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Aberdeen 1 – 1 Celtic: Dons halt Celtic’s winning run in perfect storm

Aberdeen ended Celtic’s 17 match winning streak in the SPL, after claiming a draw at Pittodre. With Neil Lennon concerned with fatigue within his squad following the midweek internationals, the Dons took advantage of an unfamiliar and jaded Celtic. Though Celtic appeared comfortable taking a first-half lead through Anthony Stokes, Gavin Rae’s shot deflected on the stroke of half-time proved to be decisive.

Celtic Lineup

Celtic 4-4-2

Unfamiliar Celtic 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2

There were two main surprises in Lennon’s starting XI. First, Charlie Mulgrew was named in the midfield and second, debuts were handed to full-backs Andre Blackman and Mikael Lustig. On the left, with Emilio Izaguirre travelling back from international duty and unavailable, his two natural deputies were named in midfield. This provided the opening for Blackman. Lustig’s inclusion was probably based on form in training, considering Cha Du Ri not being included in South Korea’s midweek excursion.

With Scott Brown injured, Ki Sung-Yeung and Efrain Juarez also unavailable, this made for a ramshackle midfield – Lennon deploying a 4-4-2/4-2-2-2 which isn’t really favoured. While Mulgrew did play 90 minutes for Scotland midweek, he was preferred to Victor Wanyama (who made the bench) having featured in Kenya’s World Cup qualifying win over Egypt.

Similarly, James Forrest and Thomas Rogne started despite gruelling mid-week performances, with Joe Ledley also having given 15 minutes to his country.

Aberdeen Lineup

Aberdeen compact 4-1-4-1

Aberdeen compact 4-1-4-1

Craig Brown made one change to the side that drew 1-1 at St Mirren last week. Youl Mawene was replaced by Rory Fallon, prompting a chain-reaction in Brown’s system. Scott Vernon dropped to right-midfield, Ryan Jack reverted to right-back, and Kari Arnasen (and Gavin Rae) dropped deeper, making 4-4-1-1 become 4-1-4-1.

Brown has a tendency to use forwards on the flanks against bigger sides, with the intention that in the attacking phase the player in question can break into the box as an auxiliary striker. Fallon also has the advantage of being more effective defensively, covering more ground and generally being more aggressive.

Peter Pawlett and Josh Magennis returned from injury to make the bench, although Stephen Hughes, Michael Paton, Chris Clark, Isaac Osbourne, Russell Anderson, Rob Milsom and Yoann Folly all made for an extensive injury list.

Midfield influence

While ultimately many factors were pulling at Lennon’s gameplan, the initial concern was the shape of the midfield and it’s influence on the rest of the side. Mulgrew and Ledley’s extreme one-sidedness ensured play was channelled overwhelmingly down the left-side of the pitch. One might argue that many sides have two predominantly left or right footed central midfielders, but that ignores a few key issues.

Most central midfielders are either fairly two-footed (at least with short passing), or have devised ways to work their passing opportunities carefully. The problem with Mulgrew is that he is a) a defender and b) very one-sided. The problem with Ledley is that for a central midfielder, he is very one-sided. Aberdeen’s keen pressing made sure that Celtic were never comfortable enough in the centre to have the time to make considered, ‘ideal’ passing.

This run of play was complicated by the personnel on the pitch. One would have to consider the right-hand side to be Celtic’s stronger – the in-form Forrest and Swedish international (albeit debutant) Lustig. Contrasted against the rookie Blackman (who saw an exaggerated amount of the ball) and the out-of-form Commons. Though Blackman never shirked (and it’s unfair to compare), he doesn’t yet have the initiative or timing of, say, Izaguirre. You want the attacking left-back to be dictating the runs of his opposite number (Vernon), which indirectly is a defensive action.

Considering he saw probably the most possession of any player, it was still a good early performance, if slightly naive.

The final complication with the Mulgrew/Ledley combo, tells as much about the lack of Mulgrew at the back. Rogne and Kelvin Wilson’s distribution continues to be a problem, a situation always highlighted against a side with one striker (i.e. an extra man in midfield). Outnumbered, neither Mulgrew or Ledley could drop deep to take charge of the ball (like Ki might), and so responsibility fell on the two centre-backs, which invariably leads to long-balls to Hooper and Stokes.

Mulgrew had an early chance, curling in a free-kick against the far-post.

Aberdeen’s organisation

It’s probably something of a cliché to cite Craig Brown’s sides as being  well-organised, but Saturday’s display was an excellent example, with the keyword being “compact”. The definition of compact, is the vertical space between the back-line and forward line – the active area of play – which Aberdeen kept to a minimum. Deployed poorly, or overly negatively, it can see a team parked outside it’s box with 9 outfield players crammed in chucking in tackles, and a striker marooned on the halfway.

But Aberdeen were different in that, the whole side operated and moved as a unit, with a well defined space between each band. In their best spell (in the second half), Considine and Reynolds were stationed on the halfway, making for a congested Celtic half, in which it was impossible to play out of. Celtic clearances would be mopped up, and the attack mounted again.

Celtic’s goal came from a mistake from Andrew Considine (always dependable!) which is probably telling. His wayward pass made it’s way to Commons, who in a brief flash of creativity twisted, turned and released Stokes who took it round the keeper.

2nd half frustration

Unfortunately for Blackman, he just wasn’t ready to be the sought after “out-ball” for Celtic. His unlucky own-goal, which he can only be partly blamed, summed up his afternoon. In truth, Lennon should probably have removed him at half-time (Wanyama eventually came into the centre of midfield, with Mulgrew going left-back) but with the timing of the O.G. would come across as punishment.

The change came on the hour (Lennon could arguably have been resting Wanyama for as long as possible) but it was clearly needed. The change also released Mulgrew somewhat from a position he’s never played in before, and looked uncomfortable throughout. Wanyama on the other hand, quickly established himself as one of Celtic’s better performers.

Commons was the next to feel Lennon’s wrath, making at least two dreadful, lazy blunders which turned Celtic attacks into desperate causes for defence, and was immediately hooked, with Dylan McGeouch coming on onto the right flank (Forrest went left).

McGeouch is another youngster showing promise on the fringes, and he tried hard to impress. But his determination to pull-off another miracle run (see the St.Mirren 5-0 match) saw him hanging onto the ball probably longer than necessary. The intent to create something was hugely appreciated though, in a team bereft of ideas.

Cha Du Ri’s replacing of Lustig prompted a final push for the winner, with the team finally appearing to function acceptably. The exhausted Forrest, finally had the chance to beat his man, and Cha also provided energy down his side. But the surge proved too little too late.

Conclusion

Ultimately Celtic were caught up in the perfect storm – an excellent, determined Aberdeen performance coupled with a long list of various ailments. From the internationals and injuries, to plain-old balance issues within the starting XI. While the weather had a part to play (being particularly unhelpful for both long ‘opportune’ passes and short, technical stuff) it’s another example where the Stokes and Hooper combination has been comfortably snuffed out.

The two need service and unlike Samaras, who poses an aerial option, they need quality, composed and intelligent service – as per the through ball from Commons. With four (five including Wanyama) top quality central-midfielders missing, the onus was on the flanks – and a shame that debuts had to come in the full-back areas.

Strangely, the equalising goal came completely against the run of play, and you wonder if Celtic could’ve made it to half-time, with even such a depleted squad perhaps an 18th successive win could’ve been grabbed.

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Dunfermline 0 – 3 Celtic: Mulgrew helps deliver ten wins in ten

Celtic made it 10 SPL wins from 10 after picking apart a rugged, if overly negative Dunfermline side. In the furious January weather that currently batters Scotland, the home side followed a frequent ‘anti-Celtic’ model of sitting deep, packing the midfield and (aiming to) hit on the counter. Only, the latter, attacking element was lacking and what proved to be a fatal level of space was afforded.

Celtic Lineup

Celtic 4-2-2-2 (attacking 4-4-2)

After Beram Kayal picked up an injury in the Glasgow derby (note: still waiting on @someone_who’s £100 contribution to charity following a twitter bet that Kayal wasn’t actually injured!!) , Lennon had to shuffle the pack.

Anthony Stokes came into the side, meaning Georgios Samaras moved out left, James Forrest swapped flanks to the right, and Scott Brown moved into the central spot vacated by Kayal; making for the ambitious (dreaded?) attacking 4-2-2-2.

The back five remained unchanged with Emilio Izaguirre on the bench, eager to reclaim the left-back slot that has rightfully been his. As first team players trickle back into match contention, the ‘good’ problems only increase for Lennon, with the likes of Izaguirre, Kelvin Wilson, Ki Sung Yeung and (soon to be) Mikael Lustig and Kris Commons, facing a daunting task breaking into a winning 11.

Dunfermline Lineup

Dunfermline 4-1-4-1

Jim McIntyre had to work around an extensive injury list, with Paul Gallacher, Austin McCann,Nick Phinn, Steven Bell, Steven McDougall and Kevin Rutkiewicz all absent, and Craig Easton and Joe Cardle only fit enough to return to the bench.

Contrary to Celtic’s form, McIntrye’s side hadn’t won a match since the 5th of November, and the SPL’s bottom club would have to avoid the poor mistakes that cost dearly last time out against Celtic.

Quick control

It didn’t take long for Celtic to grab authority of the game – and while Dunfermline’s wayward forward passing didn’t help, the main reason for all the possession was just how deep the home side were sitting – or at least the three central midfielders.

There are two relevant benefits in the central three of a 4-1-4-1 (versus a central two): in possession, the anchorman should be free or, if marked, free up others and this numerical advantage should convert to easier ball retention.

Out of possession, the anchorman should be acting almost as a sweeper – ensuring any tricky attacking forays between the lines (e.g. James Forrest cutting in) should be met with a stiff challenge.

But Gary Mason wasn’t able to provide either benefit due to his sides exaggeratedly deep lines, and instead of being a free man in the midfield – he was a free man in defence, helping shut out the threat of Stokes and Hooper.

Considering their attacking threat, that’s not such a bad thing (and the fact that the pair had a limited impact in open play is testament to this notion) but in terms of Dunfermline’s own attacking (or possessional) aspirations, the perceived numerical advantage in midfield was completely lost.

Unlocking a “low block”

It wasn’t just the Pars’ defenders (including Mason) sitting deep – without the ball the striker wouldn’t cross the halfway line. This made for the traditional ‘low block’, and instead of throwing bodies forward, Celtic enjoyed relative ease in possession. Brown and Wanyama were not being pressed aggressively, the there was always an out-ball in behind.

The initial problem was the Samaras route being used too often. This has tended towards a cross-field ball from the right centre-back position, only, Rogne’s distribution isn’t of the quality of Mulgrew’s. Between the heavy wind, Rogne’s passing and Samaras’ uncharacteristic inability to hold-up the ball, Dunfermline though lacking possession didn’t appear in open play to be under that much threat.

Set-piece success

Faced by a deep-set defence, the swathes of possession wasn’t yielding clear-cut opportunities. But they struggled to deal with each of Mulgrew’s set-pieces, with a goal coming off the back of one such. Samaras nodded the cross down to Stokes, who’d cleverly skulked away from the aerial challenge. Still having it all to do, he curled in delightfully from 18 yards. Reminiscent of the ‘over-the-shoulder’ hook against Hibernian this time last year, it’s become something of a trademark to ghost away from the mixer, into space enough to fashion an effort into the far corner.

When faced against a team hell-bent on not conceding, it’s such moments of genius that derails even the best laid plans – and also reason why Stokes is so vital in unlocking such defences.

Dominance culminates in soft goals

Part of the Pars’ failing was the inability to get support towards Barrowman up front, though the nippy David Graham’s forays inside were the only vague source of threat.

Celtic’s midfield meanwhile were afforded plenty space – Wanyama (criminally) given enough time to unleash a howitzer from 30 yards – tipped over the bar – and the set-pieces kept coming without reply. Wanyama went again unchallenged to knock in a wicked Mulgrew free-kick from close range, very poorly defended.

After 50 minutes Gary Mason was removed in favour of Joe Cardle (who went on to the left-wing), though the system stayed the same, with Martin Hardie now the holding midfielder. The subtle positive change encouraged the Pars’ best chance of the match. Hardie had an attempt on goal which his manager felt was a turning point in the match – a chance for the crucial ‘third goal’ – but in truth the shot from twenty yards was barely a half-chance.

McIntrye introduced another striker in Andy Kirk with 30 minutes remaining (for Paul Willis), going 4-4-2, but to rub salt into the wounds and to cap off a superb day of set-piece deliveries, Mulgrew fired in a free-kick that should’ve been saved quite easily by the unfortunate Chris Smith.

Conclusion

It wasn’t the hardest fought victory for Celtic yet there are so many positives: the avoidance of a derby hangover, the cameo return of Emilio Izaguirre, 3 goals without reply, the dominating overall performance and the fans impact on East End Park, in which a reminder was sent out to Scottish football of the benefit of such a large and enthusiastic travelling support.

Celtic next face Peterhead in the Scottish Cup Fourth Round.

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Celtic 2 – 1 Dunfermline: Tactical experiment (largely) pays off

After 70 minutes of fluid and blistering attacking football, Celtic somehow managed to lose their grasp of the game, if not the three points. With every match a must-win in the pursuit of Rangers at the top of the SPL, having weathered the mightiest of storms a beleaguered Dunfermline fought their way right back into a strange match.

Celtic Lineup

Celtic 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 (Until 15 minutes)

With no real injury updates, Neil Lennon lined up in fairly similar fashion to the win at Inverness. There were 2 main differences – Kris Commons came in for Georgios Samaras on the left, and Joe Ledley replaced Badr El Kaddouri. The first change served two purposes – an acknowledgement that ‘the game is up’ in terms of the long-ball tactic aimed at Samaras, and arguably removed the temptation for the defence to simply hit hopeful balls in the Greek’s general direction, instead focusing on the trademark low, quick passing typified by Stokes’ opener on Saturday.

The removal of El Kaddouri is probably conceding that he simply isn’t reliable enough defensively. The Dynamo Kiev loanee is small, fragile and doesn’t seem too suited to an under-fire defence.

With Charlie Mulgrew, Glenn Loovens, Thomas Rogne and Kelvin Wilson all still unavailable, Victor Wanyama started for the second time in a row alongside Daniel Majstorovic in defence. Incidentally this is Celtic’s 20th starting defensive permutation of the season.

Dunfermline

Dunfermline 3-5-2

Pars manager Jim McIntyre had to contend with similar injury woes – club Captain Austin McCann was missing from central defence, while Martin Hardie, Craig Easton, Jason Thomson, Kevin Rutkiewicz, Steven Bell and Nick Phinn remain on the casualty list. Andy Dowie returned from injury to start at the back, and Andy Barrowman replaced Liam Buchanan up front.

Sloppy Pars encourage Celtic

Just as Celtic were finding their feet in the game, a sloppy pass from Paul Willis seemed to catch his own defence off guard. Sharp as ever, Gary Hooper pounced on mistake and clinically slotted past Paul Gallagher.

For the second, it was Alex Keddie’s turn to blunder, his loose pass enabling Celtic to counter, with Commons, Stokes and Hooper linking to eventually allow James Forrest to lift the ball past the ‘keeper from close range.

Lennon at this point ordered a tactical change –  the decision was probably both a reaction to Dunfermline’s 3-5-2 and the 2 goal buffer really allowing a chance to experiment. Either way, the new formation was completely unexpected.

The new system was defined by the placement of Kayal, Ki and Commons, with the latter drifting inside – essentially to the position discussed in depth here. Kayal dropped deep as a midfield anchor, with Ki, though fairly central, effectively the right-midfielder – tasked with putting pressure on Dunfermline’s left-full back.

This is the hard counter against the 3-5-2 – exposing the relative weaknesses on the flanks. Ledley became more attacking teaming up with Forrest on the left, while Ki and Matthews combined on the right. This is probably the major reason to believe that Lennon’s switch was purely a tactical response to the 3-5-2.

The second indication, though he demonstrated this during the early 4-2-2-2 phase, was the movement of Gary Hooper. By dropping deep, he left Anthony Stokes as a lone striker – meaning that three centre-backs had to deal with only one striker – a wasteful use of ‘resources’.

Hooper’s placement in fact was sometimes level with Commons, Forrest and even Ki, making for a kind of ultra-attacking, fluid 4-1-4-1.

Exposed 3-5-2 taken apart

With Lennon taking the tactical upper hand (albeit thanks to two soft goals), his side really gained momentum. The linking of the front-five (and to a slightly lesser extent, the over-lapping Ledley and Matthews) brutally over-loaded Dunfermline’s defence.

It was all darting, penetrating runs and delicate, intricate passing, picking holes at leisure in a overwhelmed defence. Fantastic to watch – at one point the question was “how many?” – yet the third goal, the real killer goal couldn’t be found.

James Forrest put in one of his best dribbling displays, for all intents and purposes looking like a more direct Aiden McGeady. Commons was finding space for his (ultimately fruitless) trademark long-range drives, and Hooper was central to the vast majority of link-ups. Whatever curtailed his early-season performances seems to have vanished.

However fine the performance – there was an all-round profligacy. Anthony Stokes arguably guiltier than most, but Hooper, Forrest and Ki in the second half (missing a penalty!) should’ve had more.

Commons removal

It’s unclear why Commons was removed at half-time, it could’ve been fitness related, but equally the reasoning could be this apparent “number 10″ problem vexing Lennon. Paddy McCourt replaced him, but he too was largely ineffective there. McCourt is almost exclusively suited to the left-wing – feinting outside and working his way inwards. The central “number 10″ role demands an unpredictable combination of passing, vision and shooting technique – not really McCourt’s forté.

With McCourt ineffectual, Ki was eventually moved inwards – once again trialled in this  role. It almost immediately paid-off, with Ki in the space of minutes providing two delicious defence splitting through-balls into the path of Stokes – who should’ve buried at least one.

Losing momentum – the system’s vulnerabilities

Despite the chances created, and the positive tinkering, the gap remained an uncertain two goal when it should’ve been a landslide. The ultra-attacking approach looked to tire Celtic, and with each fruitless attack, Dunfermline seemed to garner more and more belief in snatching a goal.

In a way, Celtic’s system was flattering. It depended on a lot of bodies being forward, leaving only Beram Kayal ahead of a defence featuring very attacking full-backs. It meant that Celtic’s second quarter was largely undermanned, allowing for more ambitious midfielders to make piercing runs either side of Kayal.

And it was midfield substitute Joe Cardle breaking beyond Celtic’s midfield and into the box that forced Fraser Forster into belated action – making two very good saves. The Pars too, enjoyed the majority of corners in the match, and the inevitable reply came.

David Graham, largely unchallenged in the relative space of midfield was able to thread through to Andy Barrowman to score on the 86th minute. The situation was reminiscent to perhaps Strachan’s final season, or especially Mowbray’s. Blanket match domination followed by unlikely and meek conceding.

Conclusion

But Lennon’s sides have always featured that special extra grit than Mowbray’s, and Celtic were able to hang on for the win. It was interesting in a tactical sense that Lennon so quickly adjusted to exploit the 3-5-2. The change elicited some of the most enjoyable attacking football seen from his side this season. It would be a shame to highlight the defence (or goalkeeper) as the source of losing the clean sheet – the over-ambitious system was probably more to blame. But in theory, Lennon’s tactical choice should’ve seen a massive win, so in a sense it was a bigger victory for him than the scoreline eventually suggested.

Yet this prototype system is unlikely to feature again. It seemed very much geared to counter the 3-5-2, and such an open, unstructured midfield would probably suffer against a side without such obvious weaknesses.

It’s therefore difficult to say if this tactic will be seen again, but at the very least Lennon’s initiative should be applauded, but most importantly the minimum requirement of three points, are on the board.

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Celtic 2 – 0 Inverness: Slow coaches driven on by Ledley

Celtic cut the 7 point advantage that Rangers had acquired down to 4, with a hard fought win over Inverness CT. It was an important step towards recovery with last Sunday’s defeat still rankling, along with the upcoming Europa League visit of Udinese.

Celtic Lineup

Celtic 4-4-2

The defensive woes continued for Neil Lennon, with perhaps two of the most consistent centre-backs in Charlie Mulgrew and Kelvin Wilson suspended and injured respectively. Wilson joins an injury list including Emilio Izaguirre, Kris Commons and Scott Brown. Georgios Samaras, Paddy McCourt and Mark Wilson however, returned.

This left very few questions for Lennon, effectively picking the strongest and freshest XI available, although a few may wonder how close to the first team Thomas Rogne currently is. And so tactically it was a return to the favoured, “SPL” formation – the lop-sided 4-4-2.

Inverness CT

Inverness CT 4-1-4-1

Terry Butcher’s injury list is similar in length to Celtic’s, with Gavin Morrison, Owain Jones, Chris Hogg, Aaron Doran, Lee Cox, Josh Meekings and Jonny Hayes all crocked. Influential Richie Foran did shake off injury, to start in a supporting role to striker Gregory Tade.

The fact Inverness CT employed a very similar system to Highland rivals Ross County, suggests that managers can see Celtic’s weaknesses and failings just like fans – congest Celtic’s superior midfield in order to cut off supply to the strikers, and whack balls on top of or behind their shaky centre-backs and timid goalkeeper.

High line and slow start

A problem highlighted a number of times already on this blog is Celtic’s unnatural tendency to start sluggishly. Better teams have taken advantage, like Sion or Atletico Madrid, and Scottish sides seem to have their best spells in the opening 10 minutes.

The soft centre (of defence) was clearly targeted early on, and in a way it’s a very easy route for teams to take – and this isn’t a criticism, but there’s nothing technical about turning over possession quickly simply via the long-ball. It isn’t a criticism because Celtic hate defending against it, and it’s Scottish football’s worst kept secret.

Hence the pacy Gregory Tade taking advantage of a very high defensive line. High-lines are normally associated with top sides, and in theory SPL title-chasers Celtic should fall under this bracket. But high-lines also require confidence, understanding, communication and as a “hedge” at least one centre-back with a bit of pace.

Celtic’s back three (including Forster) possess none of these qualities, and while Rangers have always been aware of their limitations at the back, Celtic as a “football playing” side insist on defending high and are punished as a result repeatedly. The FC Sion/Majstorovic incident is a case in point, although recently Kenny Miller, Nikica Jelavic and latterly Tade have demonstrated the exploit.

Survival and midfield rebellion

While Loovens and Majstorovic looked uncomfortable most of the time, for Butcher a goal is not necessarily the end product required. It unsettles the team, upsets the home fans and carries the risk of a last man foul situation. Thankfully for Lennon, none of these came and Celtic were therefore allowed to start taking control.

It’s the down-side of Inverness’ tactics. The quick turnover if absorbed easily by Celtic allows for more possession which in theory equates to more chances. Ki Sung-Yeung and (more notably yesterday) Beram Kayal play an important part in retaining possession and directing the flow into the more dangerous areas, and this was conveniently demonstrated in the assists for both goals, midway through the first half.

Speaking only of the two would be something of a disservice to Joe Ledley, who was the best player on the park. It was a very similar performance to Scott Brown at his best, tucked in from the flank, breaking centrally, relentlessly driving for possession and rewarded with a fine goal. Equally, it wasn’t a surprise that the goals came from midfield players because the strikers had a very poor game – with Anthony Stokes especially having a nightmare.

Inverness fade, 2nd half changes do little to alter flow

As per Ross County, with the gap between the teams widening, Butcher’s hunt for a goal became more forced having to slowly increase the ratio of attackers. The 4-1-4-1 became a 4-4-2, yet Tade was never removed despite looking exhausted only early into the second period.

The tactical shuffle if anything worked in Celtic’s favour, with the same long-ball tactic being dealt with in quite straight-forward fashion, although now with a more open midfield for Ki, Kayal and Ledley to exploit.

Celtic’s second best performer was Adam Matthews at right-back, who at best has the defensive robustness of Mark Wilson, the dribbling ability of James Forrest and the delivery of Andreas Hinkel.

Lennon, concerned that the forward positions weren’t competitive enough (in this match and in general) introduced first Mohamed Bangura for Gary Hooper (who looked to have taken a knock), and then Samaras and McCourt to replace Anthony Stokes and Ki. Ledley moved central making a more conventional “wide” 4-4-2 with McCourt on the left and Forrest on the right.

Perhaps it was something of a warmup for players who will surely feature at some stage against Udinese – especially Samaras and McCourt. The latter could be the match-changer off the bench, in a game Celtic really need to win.

Conclusion

Although Samaras put in an energetic, positive performance and McCourt’s devilish trickery was vaunted again, the changes came at a time when both sets of players were content with the outcome. Inverness had given a lot, and were simply out of answers, while Celtic had the comfortable 2 goal advantage.

The concern is still the early game sluggishness and the flimsy nature of the defence. As will be discussed in the upcoming Scout Report (having watched AC Milan 1-1 Udinese and hopefully Sunday’s Cagliari – Udinese), Celtic will need to be wary of using a high-line as Udinese will have the players to exploit it.

Will the 4-4-2 be maintained? Or will it be another attempt at ‘Plan B’. It’s a repetitive story, but Lennon still has to make that massive gamble.

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Dundee Utd 1 – 3 Celtic: Majstorovic seals victory after second half wobble

Celtic pick up another 3 points after dominating much of the game at Tannadice yesterday, although for a spell in the second half the visitor’s resilience was put sternly to the test. But late on Daniel Majstorovic put an end to hopes of a Dundee Utd equaliser, with a diving header from a fine Charlie Mulgrew delivery.

Celtic Lineup

Celtic 4-4-2

Neil Lennon made just the one change to the side that bravely battled back to a draw with Rangers, with Anthony Stokes reclaiming his place from Ki Sung-Yeung in the starting lineup. This must be something approaching Lennon’s first pick XI, although the Korean along with injured trio Thomas Rogne, Shaun Maloney and James Forrest will surely argue with that.

Again it’s an assymetrical 4-4-2, seen before this season against Aberdeen with Commons high up on the left and on the other side Scott Brown far more reserved, tucked in centrally to contribute to the midfield battle. And his presence was required as Dundee United lined up with a 5 man midfield. As per the Old Firm, Brown’s tracking back and defensive sensibilities can help shackle dangermen on that flank, in this case Craig Conway.

Dundee United Lineup

Dundee Utd 4-1-4-1

Peter Houston dropped the 4-4-2 formation that helped defeat Hamilton 1-3, due in part (at least) to the suspension of Captain Jon Daly. His replacement Morgaro Gomis added to the midfield and Utd setup in a 4-1-4-1 similar to the shape seen in the encounter at Celtic Park earlier this season. Until Sunday it was a Utd side unbeaten in 11 games, so a massive away test for Celtic.

The old cliché

The match only just survived various pitch inspections and the concern was caused by heavy rainfall through the night and morning. Waterlogged with rain continuing, as could be expected the game fell into the old cliché of a “cold and rainy February in Dundee”. Sloppy passing, awkward tackles, difficulty in retaining possession confidently but a key feature of the contest was the impact deflections had on proceedings. Stokes’, Wilson’s and Goodwillie’s goals all helped along by scrappy deflections, and in addition perhaps kindly to the number 88, the weather could be to blame for Gary Hooper’s comical sitter:

Weather aside, Celtic dominated the game (although the BBC possession stats show 60% in Dundee Utd’s favour) The division doesn’t seem correct, but it was through counter-attacking that Celtic were finding the most clear cut opportunities. Indeed the opening goal came via a Utd mistake deep in Celtic’s half. Stokes ruthlessly exploited the high defensive line and broke clear far enough to take a shot that made the net via Gary Kenneth. But as Neil Lennon said after the game, Celtic could’ve and should’ve picked off more from these counters.

Gary Hooper – Not just a poacher

Since the days of Scott McDonald and Jan Vennegoor of Hesselink, Celtic have lacked that consistent A-list player up front. But this season new signings Stokes and Hooper have combined to make a fascinating partnership. Stokes – a graduate of Arsenal’s youth system – has been known in Scotland for his intelligence and sharp technique, preferring to play slightly deeper but also grabs a fair share of goals. It was spoke of in the most recent Scheidtcast (podcast) that Stokes was largely responsible for Hibs fine form last season.

Gary Hooper on the other hand came from Scunthorpe United, and in arguably a more difficult environment racked up 50 goals in 2 years. The general consensus has been that Hooper is a bona fide penalty box poacher, but as the realisation dawned on Craig Burley today, it’s now clear that there’s a lot more to Hooper than goal-hanging.

In recent games Hooper has generally been the furthest forward of the pair, but when in possession in deeper areas, there have been tremendous examples of a vision and passing technique more expected of an attacking midfielder or trequartista. For example, against Aberdeen it was Hooper’s superb lofted pass that culminated in Considine’s game-breaking red card.  His role in today’s second goal should not be underestimated. The precise link-up and through-pass for Scott Brown, was clever and canny.

With Stokes picking up more goals than ever and Hooper displaying a creative, play-making side there seems to be a convergence developing between the two. And it’s this fluid interchangeability that’s so exciting to watch and so difficult for opposition players to cope with.

Celtic midfield on top

Although the BBC statistics might hint that the midfield weren’t doing their job (i.e. winning and keeping possession) 2 of Celtic’s biggest performers today were Joe Ledley and Baram Kayal. The former can sometimes be scape-goated as mentioned in today’s ESPN commentary – this isn’t the box to box goalscoring midfielder that was expected from Cardiff. But what Ledley is, is an industrious ball-winner, a great reader of the game and to boot has a cultured left-foot. Perhaps not enough goals, but with opposition packing midfields, there’s more important tasks at hand – namely – working hard to get and channel the ball into the right areas. A real team player, and today was a fine example. Kayal is a similar type of player, but his tackling was second to none. He relishes 50/50′s, demands passes and maintains possession – again, superb.

Speaking of possession, it’s interesting that even through television Neil Lennon could be heard bellowing “Hold! Hold!” time after time to Stokes. Clearly it was a concern just how much possession was being squandered, and perhaps 2 small and direct strikers do not lend well to ball retention.

Bolstered by Brown, the Celtic midfield coped fairly well despite on paper a numeric disadvantage in the middle. But the Dundee Utd possession was in non-dangerous areas, and Goodwillie found himself further and further isolated. In response to this issue, Houston made a dramatic change introducing Swanson for the disappointing Gomis. Utd’s shape was then more like a 4-4-2, and the gamble was on converting possession to chances for a Goodwillie now enjoying more reasonable support.

Uncertain Spell

Celtic’s were undoubtedly fantastic in the first half, but Houston’s gamble seemed to pay off and Lennon’s side now appeared to be on the ropes. Post-match, Lennon alluded that the Goodwillie goal and (pre-planned) Celtic substitution at this time unsettled the side, and the change of Ki for Commons (with Ledley going left-midfield) created a slight uncertainty that, coupled with Utd’s shift in momentum made for a very difficult spell.

But a Majstorovic header at just the right time seemed to derail any hope of an equaliser. Another precise and excellent delivery from Charlie Mulgrew invited Majstorovic into a diving header, and the contest was over.

Overall tactically, there were no real surprises here and the host’s mini-revival was snuffed out rather anti-climatically.  This game could stand as something of a milestone in the current managerial era – a real “Lennon” first XI away to one of the most challenging venues in the SPL – lesser managers would fall, especially in these weather conditions, but the title challenge relentlessly rolls on.

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